Despite
a recent slowing in the rate of growth
in new residents, Florida remains one
of the fastest growing states in the
nation. During the 1980's, the number
of people in the state rose by 3.2
million, second only to California.
This represents nearly a 33% increase
in population over that decade and as
a result, Florida passed Ohio,
Illinois, and Pennsylvania to become
the fourth largest state. (In 1950
Florida ranked twentieth in size.)
This rapid population growth was not
unusual, as Florida has been in the
top four states in population growth
rates every decade as far back as the
1920's.
Within
the state, the last ten years saw six
counties increase in residents by more
than 50% (Charlotte, Collier, Flagler,
Gilchrist, Hernando, and Osceola).
Florida's population is an urbanized
population. In 1990, 85% of the
state's population lived in urban
areas and 50% reside in its nearly 400
municipalities.
Population
can be measured as the result of four
components, or forces- births, deaths,
inmigration, and outmigration. During
the 1980's the number of births was
just over 1.6 million, while the
number of deaths totaled just under
1.2 million. Thus the natural
population growth of slightly more
than 420,000 represented just
one-eighth of the total increase. The
remaining increase in population was
due to migration. The 1980's saw 2.8
million more people move into the
state than move out of it.
The
population estimates presented here
represent permanent residents only, as
defined by the Census Bureau
guidelines of "usual place of
residence". Tourists and seasonal
residents are thus excluded. Persons
from foreign countries are included
regardless of legal status and college
students, military personnel and
prison inmates are included as
residents where they are living, not
where their "hometown" is.
The
total state population is projected to
be 15,524.481 on April 1, 2000, an
increase of 2,586,555 over the 1990
census count of 12,937,926. This means
that during the decade of the 1990's,
Florida will have experienced a
population growth of 20%, compared to
a 10.5% growth rate projected for the
U.S. Slower growth is expected during
the first decade of the 21st century
with Florida's population growing to
17,942,330 by April 1, 2010 (a 15.6%
increase over 2000).
Florida's
age distribution on April 1, 2010 will
reflect the continuation of an aging
trend of the population. In 1980,
there were 1,687,573 Floridians aged
65 and older (17.3 percent of the
total population). The 1990 census
enumerated 2,355,926 elderly (18.2
percent of total) and by April 1,
2010, this age group will number
3,401,881 and constitute 19 percent of
the total population. These changes
represent increases of 39.6 percent
between 1980 and 1990, 20.9 percent
between 1990 and 2000, and 19.4
percent between 2000 and 2010. The
population aged 85 and older was one
of the fastest growing age segments
during the 1980's, increasing by 75.1
percent. This group is expected to
increase by more than half again
during the last decade of this century
and number 330,936 by April 1, 2000.
High rates of growth will continue for
this age group through the first
decade of the next century with the
age 85 and older population projected
at 490,681 by 2010. This demographic
change is dramatically highlighted in
the population
pyramids.
In
contrast, the youth population (ages
0-19) will continue to increase in
size, but not as rapidly as the
elderly population. It will grow about
as fast as overall population, thereby
becoming a more stable segment than in
recent history. In 1980, persons aged
0 to 19 numbered 2,688,114, making up
27.6 percent of the total population.
In 1990, there were 3,232,455 persons
in this age group (25.0 percent of the
population). In 2000 there will be
3,877,483 persons age 19 and younger,
still representing 25 percent of the
total and in 2010, this age group will
number 4,213,542 and represent 23.6
percent of the total state population.
A major concern will be the slow
growth among those in the prime labor
force age group (ages 25-59). This
group increased by 1.8 million persons
during the 1980's (51.3 percent) to
reach a level of 5.8 million on April
1, 1990. In the future, the proportion
of the total population this group
represents is expected to begin
falling, declining modestly from 46.1
percent of the population in 2000 to
44.7 percent by 2010 with more rapid
declines after 2010.
Questions
regarding demographic data may be
referred to Kathy McCharen at
(850)487-8273 or by e-mail: mccharen.kathy@leg.state.fl.us
Florida-Business-Data.com
publisher, Lee
Adler,
is a commercial
real estate
appraiser with Anderson
& Carr, Inc.
in West Palm
Beach,
Florida. For
information, or
to order a
commercial
appraisal,
litigation
support, market
or feasibility
study, call me
at 561-833-1661
ex. 27,
send an email,
or fill
out this form. Thank
you!
State-Certified
General
Appraiser
RZ-0001662.
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